Frontier model tier

The main leaderboard is the local, open-weight, byte-reproducible benchmark — that's the primary result this project publishes. This page is a separate comparison tier: paid, hosted frontier models called over OpenRouter at reps=1. Because these are remote API calls to closed models, the output is not byte-reproducible the way the local runs are — a re-run against the same provider can return a different answer even at temperature 0. Grading is otherwise identical: the same 147-item regulator-cited corpus, the same three prompts (P0/P1/P2), the same exact-match verdict scoring against the regulatory ground truth.

Models are listed flat, ranked by accuracy — there is no "winner" callout on this page.

Leaderboard

# Model Accuracy F1 False-pos rate Claim-ID Quarantined
1 moonshotai/kimi-k2.6 95.9% P0 96.5% 5.0% 95.2% 0 / 147
2 moonshotai/kimi-k3 88.4% P0 90.1% 11.7% 97.4% 0 / 147
3 google/gemini-3.5-flash 88.4% P1 89.8% 8.3% 96.0% 0 / 147
4 qwen/qwen3.7-max 85.7% P0 86.3% 0.0% 98.5% 3 / 147
5 z-ai/glm-5.2 84.3% P0 85.2% 3.3% 97.0% 0 / 147
6 google/gemini-3.1-pro-preview 83.0% P2 84.8% 13.3% 98.6% 1 / 147
7 openai/gpt-5.5 82.6% P0 86.9% 36.8% 98.8% 3 / 147
8 anthropic/claude-fable-5 82.3% P2 86.9% 41.7% 97.7% 0 / 147
9 anthropic/claude-opus-4.8 81.0% P0 84.6% 30.0% 96.1% 3 / 147
10 anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 81.0% P0 83.9% 23.3% 94.5% 0 / 147
11 anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 79.6% P1 84.0% 36.7% 98.7% 0 / 147
12 openai/gpt-5.6-sol 78.9% P1 83.9% 41.7% 97.5% 0 / 147
13 x-ai/grok-4.5 77.5% P1 81.6% 31.7% 97.3% 0 / 147
14 deepseek/deepseek-v3.2 76.9% P2 80.0% 25.0% 97.1% 0 / 147
Majority-class baseline (always "deceptive") 59% 100%

Each model's row is its best prompt by accuracy (tiebreak: higher F1, then the simpler prompt). Accuracy and F1 are overall verdict correctness, higher is better — the thin tick on the accuracy bar marks the 59% always-"deceptive" baseline. False-pos rate is how often honest content got wrongly flagged as deceptive, lower is better. Claim-ID is, on items correctly flagged deceptive, whether the model also identified which claim was the deceptive one. Quarantined is how many of the 147 items the API returned empty/unparseable content for and the harness scored as an abstention rather than crashing — most models are 0. There is no speed column: hosted API calls aren't timed the way the local RX 7900 XTX runs are.

Full model × prompt grid
Model Prompt Accuracy F1 Claim-ID accuracy False-positive rate
anthropic/claude-fable-5 P0 76% 83% 96% 52%
anthropic/claude-fable-5 P1 80% 85% 98% 43%
anthropic/claude-fable-5 P2 82% 87% 98% 42%
anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 P0 81% 84% 95% 23%
anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 P1 81% 84% 95% 23%
anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 P2 78% 82% 95% 30%
anthropic/claude-opus-4.8 P0 81% 85% 96% 30%
anthropic/claude-opus-4.8 P1 80% 84% 95% 36%
anthropic/claude-opus-4.8 P2 81% 85% 96% 33%
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 P0 76% 81% 97% 40%
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 P1 80% 84% 99% 37%
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 P2 77% 82% 99% 42%
deepseek/deepseek-v3.2 P0 76% 81% 97% 42%
deepseek/deepseek-v3.2 P1 73% 79% 96% 45%
deepseek/deepseek-v3.2 P2 77% 80% 97% 25%
google/gemini-3.1-pro-preview P0 75% 82% 96% 55%
google/gemini-3.1-pro-preview P1 79% 83% 97% 30%
google/gemini-3.1-pro-preview P2 83% 85% 99% 13%
google/gemini-3.5-flash P0 81% 84% 96% 23%
google/gemini-3.5-flash P1 88% 90% 96% 8%
google/gemini-3.5-flash P2 86% 88% 96% 7%
moonshotai/kimi-k2.6 P0 96% 97% 95% 5%
moonshotai/kimi-k2.6 P1 95% 96% 96% 2%
moonshotai/kimi-k2.6 P2 93% 94% 95% 12%
moonshotai/kimi-k3 P0 88% 90% 97% 12%
moonshotai/kimi-k3 P1 83% 85% 99% 17%
moonshotai/kimi-k3 P2 84% 86% 97% 15%
openai/gpt-5.5 P0 83% 87% 99% 37%
openai/gpt-5.5 P1 79% 84% 99% 37%
openai/gpt-5.5 P2 77% 83% 97% 43%
openai/gpt-5.6-sol P0 76% 82% 98% 47%
openai/gpt-5.6-sol P1 79% 84% 98% 42%
openai/gpt-5.6-sol P2 76% 81% 97% 42%
qwen/qwen3.7-max P0 86% 86% 98% 0%
qwen/qwen3.7-max P1 82% 83% 95% 4%
qwen/qwen3.7-max P2 84% 85% 97% 5%
x-ai/grok-4.5 P0 76% 82% 97% 45%
x-ai/grok-4.5 P1 78% 82% 97% 32%
x-ai/grok-4.5 P2 75% 77% 97% 18%
z-ai/glm-5.2 P0 84% 85% 97% 3%
z-ai/glm-5.2 P1 82% 82% 100% 2%
z-ai/glm-5.2 P2 83% 84% 98% 5%